CMR-Analysis (including machine learning)
Hunain Shiwani, MD
Clinical Research Fellow
University College London and Barts Heart Centre, United Kingdom
Hunain Shiwani, MD
Clinical Research Fellow
University College London and Barts Heart Centre, United Kingdom
Yue Jiang, MSc
PhD student
University College London, United Kingdom
Joao B. Augusto, MD
Consultant Cardiologist
Hospital Prof Doutor Fernando Fonseca
Lisbon, Portugal
Rebecca Hughes, MD
Clinical Research Fellow
University College London and Barts Heart Centre
London, United Kingdom
Luis R. Lopes, PhD
Associate Professor
University College London and Barts Heart Centre, United Kingdom
Jessica Artico, MD
Clinical Research Fellow
St Bartholomew's Hospital, England, United Kingdom
Stefania Rosmini, MD
Consultant Cardiologist
King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, England, United Kingdom
Silvia Castelletti, MD
Cardiologist
Istituto Auxologico Italiano, Italy
George Joy, MBBS
Research Fellow
University College London, United Kingdom
Iain Pierce, PhD
Scientist
Barts Heart Centre at St Bartholomew's Hospital, United Kingdom
Liam Burke
PhD Student
University College London, United Kingdom
Hui Xue, PhD
Director, Imaging AI Program
National Institutes of Health
Bethesda, Maryland, United States
Peter Kellman, PhD
Senior Scientist
National Institutes of Health, Maryland, United States
Alun Hughes, MD, PhD
Professor of Cardiovascular Physiology and Pharmacology
University College London, England, United Kingdom
Thomas A. Treibel, MD, PhD
Consultant Cardiologist
University College London, England, United Kingdom
Charlotte Manisty
Consultant Cardiologist
University College London and Barts Heart Centre
London, England, United Kingdom
Saidi A. Mohiddin, MD, PhD
Consultant Cardiologist in Inherited and Acquired Heart Muscle Disease and in CMR
Barts Heart Centre at St Bartholomew's Hospital, England, United Kingdom
Gabriella Captur, n/a
Consultant Cardiologist, Senior Clinical Lecturer
UCL
London, England, United Kingdom
James C. Moon, MD
Clinical Director, Imaging
Barts Heart Centre and UCL
London, England, United Kingdom
Rhodri Davies, MD, PhD
Associate clinical professor
University College London
London, Wales, United Kingdom
Cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) cines from 491 healthy volunteers and 149 patients that fulfilled HCM criteria recruited locally were automatically analysed using a clinically validated AI algorithm (1, 2) to measure the wall thickness and map each to a common coordinate frame.
A dimensionally reduced model of wall thickness distribution was built using principal component analysis (PCA) to derive eigenvectors (or wall thickness "shape components”) for all subjects. The shape components were then combined with age, sex, height, weight, end-diastolic volume (EDV), end-systolic volume (ESV) and left ventricular mass (LVM). All values were used to train a gradient boosted tree algorithm (XGboost) to discriminate HCM from health.
A model explanation method was used to find the most discriminative patient demographic details, volumetrics, and shape components (SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) analysis) [Figure 2]. To prevent overfitting, parameters that provided low discriminative value were excluded from the final model.
Validation was performed on four independent datasets, acquired at different institutions. They consisted of 4056 healthy volunteers from the UK Biobank, 376 hypertensives (on 3+ anti-hypertensive agents) from the UK Biobank, 152 veteran athletes, and a separate 489 cohort of patients with a clinical diagnosis of HCM.
Results:
The 4 parameters most predictive of HCM were shape components that favoured increased global wall thickness, asymmetric septal hypertrophy, increased apical thickness and a spiral distribution of hypertrophy. [Figure 1]. Age, sex, height, weight, EDV, ESV and LVM had no incremental discriminative value above shape components to diagnose HCM and were therefore excluded from the final model [Figure 2].
Overall model accuracy using 4 shape components was 91% with a sensitivity of 88%, specificity of 92%, +LR of 10 [95%CI: 9.42 - 12] and -LR of 0.13 [95%CI: 0.10 - 0.17]. The model classified 311/4056 healthy volunteers, 0/152 veteran athletes, 77/376 hypertensives and 431/489 HCM patients as having HCM [Figure 3].
Conclusion: We describe a machine learning method capable of discriminating HCM from healthy patients, athletes and hypertensive patients using the distribution of myocardial thickness alone. Beyond descriptive features, we have also now been able to quantify the value of shape components most predictive of HCM.