Senior Director, Business Development, O&M Origis Services Austin, Texas, United States
Introduction: This poster reviews 1) the status of solar performance modeling, 2) the disconnect between current performance modeling and actual generation and 3) steps the industry can take to mitigate solar underperformance.
The Underperformance Challenge: As the solar industry matures, the tools to measure solar performance modeling against real results have sharpened. Analytical tools and comparative studies now give us a clearer lens on asset performance. The data reveal a widespread gap between expectations and actuality. According to recent data, solar projects are more than thirteen times more likely to chronically underperform their downside production scenarios (â€œP99â€™sâ€) over a multi-year period than expected.
Steps to Mitigate Underperformance: Solution 1: Avoid Compounding Underperformance - Identify & Fix Issues Before Hand off to O&M Team Solution 2: Staff and Budget to Reduce Downtime, Underperformance and Lifetime Project Expense Solution 3: Tie Performance Engineering Closely with Field Operations